Senior Advice Strategist, Institutional Investor Group
Mr. Wolf is a senior advice strategist in Vanguard Participant Advice & Wellness. His focus is consulting with plan sponsors and consultants on Vanguard's advice and guidance offers for retirement plans. Most recently, Mr. Wolf served as head of Investment Services in Vanguard Financial Advisor Services™, leading Vanguard Advisor Portfolio Analytics and Consulting, Vanguard ETF® strategic model portfolios, and a team of national speakers responsible for sharing Vanguard thought leadership. Previously, Mr. Wolf led a team of senior financial advisors providing discretionary advice to Vanguard's highest-net-worth individual investors and their families. Earlier in his career, he was an investment analyst in Vanguard Portfolio Review Department, a relationship manager to nonprofit clients in Vanguard Institutional Asset Management, and a retirement education specialist in Vanguard Participant Education. Evan earned a B.A. from the University of Virginia and an M.B.A. from the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. He is a CFP® professional.
Takeaways from How America Saves 2024 on participant investment advice—and a farewell to TV clip shows
Growing up in the ‘80s and ’90s, with a somewhat spotty social life, I watched a lot of sitcoms. For the younger readers, this was an era when networks churned out 20 or more episodes each season. When the good ideas began to dry up, writers would occasionally create clip shows, starting with some loose premise ("We've sure had a lot of good times in this house . . . ”) and then filling the rest of the time with excerpts from previous episodes. Even as a kid, I remember perceiving this as a cop-out and feeling like I was being cheated out of something.
Fast-forward 30 years and, while the clip show may be a thing of the past, I'm still on high alert for dereliction of duty by content creators. So you can imagine my hesitation when I was encouraged to devote an Advice Guy blog post to participant investment advice in the recently released How America Saves 2024. “How could I do that to my millions of adoring readers?” I thought to myself. "They expect cutting-edge, original content!” But after a bit of reflection, and a reminder that making wild claims about my readership could hurt my credibility, I realized what a great idea it was.
How America Saves is one of Vanguard's (and the industry's) premier annual publications, and its compelling data and insights have a lot to offer for those of us interested in defined contribution advice and managed account programs. I encourage you to spend time directly with all 114 pages of data-filled goodness, but for now, here are my top five advice-related highlights and takeaways:
First, the headline stats. Managed accounts are on the rise! Meanwhile, the percentage of participants enrolled has held roughly steady.
Forty-three percent of plans, representing 77% of participants, offer managed accounts. These numbers are up from 37% and 63%, respectively, just four years ago (Figure 1). Clearly, interest in managed accounts is growing.
Of those participants with access to a managed account, 10% were enrolled in 2023, a rate that has held steady at 9% to 10% since 2019.1 This stability is interesting, as so much else has changed (in particular, many more plans offering managed accounts and the explosion in target-date fund usage; see number 4 below).
Vanguard defined contribution plans
Managed account users tend to be older, with higher average balances, compared with the overall population. But there is also demand for managed accounts across all ages and characteristics.
When compared with the overall population, managed account users are older and longer tenured, with higher average and median balances. Compared with do-it-yourself investors, however, they are younger and less tenured, with lower average and median balances.2
This is one of my favorite findings, as it addresses the objection I commonly hear that managed accounts are good only for older investors with higher balances. In fact, there's demand for managed accounts by investors across the income, age, job tenure, and account balance spectrums.3 Clearly, these individuals are seeing value in being enrolled, whether that's portfolio, financial, emotional, or time value, or likely some combination of the four.
A few examples:
There's a massive discrepancy in the offering of managed accounts based on plan size.
It's not uncommon for the largest plans (those with more than 5,000 participants) to offer features that are less common in smaller plans (for example, partial distributions and Roth and after-tax sources), but I couldn't find a more extreme case than that of managed accounts (Figure 2).
Compared with 80% of the largest plans, only 22% of plans with less than 500 participants offer managed accounts. And it's not that there's something different about the participants or their need or demand for advice; enrollment is consistent at 8% to 10% across plan sizes.4 I'd love to hear other thoughts (no bad ideas in brainstorming!), but I suspect it's more a function of plan sponsor bandwidth.
Adding and overseeing a managed account program may not seem like a top priority for an HR team likely stretched thinner than their colleagues at larger companies. If you're in this category, let's at least have a conversation. It's not as onerous or scary as you might think (read my earlier blog post on this topic).
Vanguard defined contribution plans
While our view within Vanguard is that advice and managed accounts are the most personalized and high-touch form of financial wellness, it's also clear that effective plan design can do a lot to help drive positive participant outcomes.
Here are a few of the statistics that jumped out at me, all demonstrating the power of plan design:
Long-term performance is important but not as important as whether investors are on track to achieve their financial goals. After all, long-term performance is largely the outcome of the amount of risk participants take in their portfolios over time.
Is it possible for a do-it-yourself investor to outperform a TDF or a managed account? Of course! Is it likely that they'll do it consistently over time with an appropriate level of risk for their goals and characteristics? Much less so!
When you look at the five-year results for defined contribution participants, you'll see that the average annual returns are fairly similar across single TDF, managed account, and do-it-yourself populations (9.8%, 10.2%, and 9.7%, respectively).10
The dispersion is where the story gets more interesting. The range of outcomes for single TDF investors is narrowest, as it's really the definition of TDFs: one-size-fits-all. Do-it-yourselfers are all over the place, with average returns ranging from 2.1% to 14.7%.11 Managed account participants walk a middle path, with a wider range of outcomes reflecting the greater personalization that participant investment advice provides within the constraints provided by a professional manager.
Note: Past performance is no guarantee of future returns.
Wrapping it up
Comments?
Ideas for future blog posts?
1 See Figure 89 on page 83 in How America Saves 2024.
2 See Figure 76 on page 71 in How America Saves 2024.
3 See Figure 77 on page 72 in How America Saves 2024.
4 See Figure 88 on page 82 in How America Saves 2024.
5 See Figure 30 on page 35 in How America Saves 2024.
6 See Figure 49 on page 48 in How America Saves 2024.
7 Defined by Vanguard as participants who have their entire account balance in a single target-date, target-risk, or traditional balanced fund, or in a managed account advisory service.
8 See Figure 75 on page 70 in How America Saves 2024.
9 Kimberly Stockton, Jeffrey Seegers, and Vivien Chen. Target-Date Strategies and Advice: Behavioral and Portfolio Considerations. Vanguard, January 2024; and Kimberly Stockton and Jeff Seegers. TDFs or Financial Advice? How About Both? Vanguard, May 2023.
10 See Figures 94 and 95 on pages 87 and 89 in How America Saves 2024.
11 2.1% for investors in the 5th percentile and 14.7% for those at the other extreme, the 95th percentile. For more details, see page 86 in How America Saves 2024.
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All investing is subject to risk, including the possible loss of the money you invest.
There is no guarantee that any particular asset allocation or mix of funds will meet your investment objectives or provide you with a given level of income.
Investments in target-date funds are subject to the risks of their underlying funds. The year in the fund name refers to the approximate year (the target date) when an investor in the fund would retire and leave the workforce. The fund will gradually shift its emphasis from more aggressive investments to more conservative ones based on its target date. An investment in target-date funds is not guaranteed at any time, including on or after the target date.
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